Turning Events into Probabilities
Jun 27, 2022
By The Small Exchange
Options and futures can help you assign probabilities to different events occurring in markets like interest rates. Experienced derivatives traders Mike and Frank show you how Fed Funds Futures (ZQ) are used to project what the Fed will do to interest rates by certain dates. Then, they talk about how probabilities are dynamics and how the highest-probability outcome does not necessarily always occur.
Follow Mike and Frank into the world of interest rates and see if you can spot some inefficiencies to trade using Small 2YR Yield Futures (S2Y).
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