3 Ways to Buy Bitcoin with Higher than 50% Probability

Jul 1, 2022

By The Small Exchange

Overview

Buying a market like Bitcoin at this deep of a discount can be nice, but doing so with an added edge in your favor thanks to options can be even better. Mikey and Frank use the cash market, futures, and options to buy cryptocurrency with a greater than 50% probability of profiting.

First, they use the spot market and call options to show you how to enter into a long Bitcoin position that's got a theoretical 55-75% chance of winning. Next, they skip buying the market outright to simply sell puts with as high as 80% probabilities of profit. Finally, the futures dudes cook up a cross-product covered call to make everything smaller by buying Small Cryptocurrency (SCCX) futures while selling call options on the Bitcoin (BITO) ETF.

Contents

0:05 Buying Bitcoin with Higher than 50% Probability

0:40 The Probability when Buying or Selling is 50%

1:25 Sell a Call against a Long Position

2:45 Sell a Naked Put or Put Spread

4:15 Use Smaller Products

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