Hedging Risk in Futures

Hedging Risk in Futures

Sep 20, 2021

By Frank Kaberna

When you go to buy something in the market an innate sense of fear can kick in just long enough to delay your purchase by a few seconds: What if the market moves lower? What if it moves lower by A LOT?? What if the market GOES TO $0?!?

Though markets outside of penny stocks actually reach $0 with great rarity, the risk is real and should be treated as such. So, how can you mitigate it?

Managing Risk with Product Awareness

The first, most obvious way to reduce risk in your long strategies is by reducing the number of dollars that stand between your entry price and $0. Take, for example, last week’s crash in metals.

SPRE \ Small Metals Futures

Source: dxFeed Index Services

Simply starting with a smaller product can help take the edge off when stressing your next big buy. Futures are the most direct way for retail traders to access commodities like metals, and there are Gold futures, Micro Gold futures, and Small Metals futures.

Distance from Here to $0

Source: Data as of 9/16/2021 CME Group & Small Exchange

Hedging Futures with Options

After reducing size, you can offset exposure while adding daily theta with options. Selling a 30 deltas worth of call in a highly correlated ETF like GLD can make all the difference, and, in this example, it would theoretically bring a $1,000 range down to $700 so far in 2021.

SPRE \ Small Metals Futures with 30% Hedge

Source: dxFeed Index Services

The math relating SPRE futures to GLD options ([Small Price/ETF Price]*Delta Hedge) translates to about 13 deltas in short GLD calls, which can easily be done via a credit spread.

Last-minute fear must be overcome to jump on long opportunities that arise amid a crash. While that feeling may always be there, your reluctance can be quelled by the right product and hedge.

Get Weekly Commentary on Small Markets!

To learn more about trading the Smalls, sign up for our free weekly newsletter which covers everything from stocks and bonds to commodities and foreign exchange.

Tags:

Latest Articles

What's Next: Inflation vs Recession
Video
The Small Exchange07/19/2022

What's Next: Inflation vs Recession

The Fed primarily controls interest rates, which they move higher in times of inflation and lower in times of recession. But what do they do when there's fear...

Read More →
How Inflation Affects Stocks, Bonds, and Forex
Video
The Small Exchange07/18/2022

How Inflation Affects Stocks, Bonds, and Forex

High inflation is causing some of the largest price extremes, bond and forex markets have seen in decades. Mike and Frank show you how high inflation has...

Read More →
How Does Inflation Affect Markets
Frank Kaberna07/18/2022

How Does Inflation Affect Markets

The highest inflation measure in more than 40 years has left many markets in utter disarray: Nasdaq is at its lowest since 2020, interest rates are their...

Read More →

Prices

Loading...